从7天到1秒的通信革命谈及Twitter饭否

在古代,要传达一条信息,比较常用的是书信,有人送信,方式多数是骑马。如果要加急,则可以使用驿站的五百里加急的方式来传递。当然也可以通过把书信绑在鸽子的脚上,让鸽子飞来飞去,完成信息的传递。有时还可以使用点放烟火的方式来传递简单的信息,譬如万里长城的烽火台。

工业革命让人类文明走进了机器时代,也带来了交通工具的变化,传送书信可以用汽车、轮船等来传递。电子革命则为信息传递带了根本的变化,电报、电话的发明,实现了远程通信。而收音机、电视的发明给广大人民带了新的娱乐方式。计算机革命则给现在的社会带来不可想象的改变,互联网不仅带来了信息爆炸,还带来了新的产业,新的生活方式。互联网上有不同的交流方式。譬如,展示个人主页,写博客,摄制个人Video,论坛发帖拍砖,BBS灌水留言,邮件组讨论问题,Twitter饭否),即时通信聊天或者聊天室聊天, 等等。

在这里,我们来看一个趋势:

  • 书信进行通信的话,大概需要3~5天的投递时间,一个来回需要1~2周的时间。
  • 通过写Blog进行交流的,写一篇不长不短的博文,需要30分钟左右,而自发表到正常读者读到,可能需要半天的时间,甚至是一个天的时间。如果读者留言评论,则作者收到评论可能也需要半天的时间。
  • 通过Email进行交流,一封普通email大概5分钟或者2、3分钟,如果双方都在线,基本上一个来回也就10分钟或者更短。
  • 使用手机短信进行通信,则写一条短信大约30秒,发送过程大概5秒,而收到短信回复,也需要30秒时间。
  • 使用即时通信(IM)进行交流,那么写一句话发送可能需要10秒,一个来回可能就20秒左右。
  • 电话或者是基于互联网的IP电话,则一句话的来回也就是5秒之内吧。

基本上交流的频率越来越高,一个来回所用的时间越来越来越短。

今年2007年,有一个用得非常广泛的应用就是Twitter(国内是饭否),它的一个目标是用更快捷的速度随时随地把“我正在做什么”的信息与朋友共享。能够和各种即时通信工具进行绑定,还可以和手机进行绑定,做到随时随地的共享。而一条Twitter记录,通常控制在170字以内,也就是一条记录可以在1分钟内完成。

我发现,自从大家开始使用饭否(类Twitter)之后,朋友们写饭否要远勤快于Blog了。对此我认可的一种解释是,时间是一个问题,写一篇Blog需要30分钟会给人一种压力:这是一个大任务。而写一个条Twitter记录,则只需1~2分钟,一般人都可以轻易地完成而没有任何心理压力。

在使用饭否过程中,我一开始试用了一阵子用MSN绑定饭否的做法,后来我发现饭否的朋友发信息的频率实在多了,频频的饭否信息非常影响我的注意力,所以我把MSN和饭否的绑定去掉了。而回归到一天收到查看饭否10次左右的方式(不是很方便的说)。

虽然说通信已经可以支持1秒一个来回的通信,可是我们真的需要如此通信方式吗?还是说 Twitter的方式更适合我们?如果说1分钟的Twitter记录要优于30分钟的Blog记录的话,那么下一个成功的应用是什么样的1分钟Twitter记录呢?还是7秒钟的XX记录呢?

下一个通信革命的产品是什么?

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